Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Practical Advice - Common Mistakes to Avoid When Building a Stamp Collection

As a stamp dealer living in the Washington, DC area, I am frequently approached by collectors and their heirs who request that I evaluate their collections. Often, I run into collections that aren't worth very much, and have to inform the owner that he probably has a beginner's collection, and that "its sentimental value is greater than its market value." This is usually disappointing to the owner, who is sometimes baffled because he believes that the collection should be worth more, because many years of work were devoted building it.

Stamp Collecting is not only enjoyable and educational, but offers the opportunity to build a collection which is also a valuable asset, if done properly. The main difference between a beginning stamp collector, who is usually unfamiliar with the financial side of philately, and a stampselector, is that many beginning and even intermediate collectors make fundamental mistakes when pursuing their hobby, from a financial perspective. Some of the most common mistakes are described below:

1) Buying sheets of stamps or commemorative year sets from the Postal Service- the overwhelming majority of stamps issued by the U.S.P.S. do not increase in value, except over very, very long periods of time. Most mint U.S. postage stamps issued since 1940 are considered "discount postage," and stamp dealers commonly buy these issues for 60%-80% of face value. Perhaps in another 50 years or so, as more of these stamps are used up as postage, some of them will begin to inch up in value.


2) Confusing catalog value with market value - this is a general problem in the sense that there is no substitute for familiarity with the stamp market, and that stamps of different countries or collecting areas sell for different percentages of catalog value. The most dramatic misinterpretation of catalog value, however, occurs when a beginning collector buys "packets," envelopes of cheap stamps from a dealer, and then assumes that the catalog value has some validity when it comes to evaluating these stamps. Scott assigns a "minimum catalog value" of 20c to any stamp, in order to take into account a dealer's labor in writing it up and presenting it. However, the most inexpensive, virtually worthless stamps are sold by the pound, sometimes for as little as 1/20c per stamp. Theoretically, 100,000 stamps may have a minimum Scott value of $ 20,000, but in reality, they may be worth only about $ 100, or less.

3) Buying commercially produced stamp, First Day Cover, or event cover collections from so-called "collector's societies"- a number of corporations fleece beginning collectors by persuading them to subscribe to these items, touting their beauty and investment potential. When the original subscriber attempts to re-sell his "heirloom collection," he invariably learns that the collection is only worth about 4% of what he paid for it.

4) Buying too many different inexpensive stamps - one of the fundamental differences between collectors and philatelic investors is that collectors usually want to fill spaces in their albums, while investors want to purchase items which increase in value and then may be easily re-sold. Often, collectors buy many different inexpensive stamps or sets of stamps, and then later find that it is very time-consuming to organize them for re-sale and that few buyers want to purchase them. This is not the same as an investor purchasing a large quantity of a single inexpensive item, because an inexpensive item, in quantity, constitutes a single lot which may be conveniently re-sold. It is much easier to sell a single thousand dollar stamp, or fifty of the same twenty dollar stamp, than it is to sell fifty different twenty dollar stamps. A stampselector should take into account the time and effort that will be involved in re-selling his stamps, both by himself and by prospective buyers, because this "convenience factor" will be an important determinant of their value.


5) Neglecting to preserve the collection- condition is a crucial factor in stamp valuation. Having evaluated many collections for which the value was tragically decimated due to improper handling or storage, I strongly recommend that all collectors learn about stamp preservation. Readers may wish to take a look at my article on the subject, "Practical Advice: Preserving Your Stamps",which appeared earlier in this blog.


There is nothing wrong with treating stamp collecting purely as a hobby, pursued solely for pleasure and with no expectation of financial reward. However, should a collector also consider himself a philatelic investor and desire that his collection increase in value as an asset, he must take into account the factors which will affect its eventual sale. The hobby and the business are related, but they are not the same.






Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Stamp Investment Tips: Hong Kong 1948 Silver Wedding (Scott #178-79)

In 1948, Hong Kong issued a set of two stamps celebrating the Silver Wedding Anniversary of King George VI and Queen Elizabeth (Scott #178-79). 54,252 sets were issued and Scott '10 prices the unused set at $ 300.-.

The stamps of Hong Kong are in demand in Hong Kong, China and among British Commonwealth collectors. This set is of particular interest because it is part of the popular Silver Wedding Omnibus set, comprising stamps issued by the various British Commonwealth countries to commemorate the event.

Hong Kong is now a special administrative district of P.R. China, but it has a high degree of autonomy except in the areas of foreign affairs and defence. With about 7 million people, this Asian Tiger remains a global metropolis and international finance center. The Hong Kong economy experienced negative annual GDP growth in 2009 as a result of the global financial crisis, but should recover over the next year or two and return to its usual 5%-7%.

As a modern issue, the set is readily available in VF NH condition, and sometimes is even offered in blocks or multiples. I recommend targeting it for accumulation.


Monday, February 1, 2010

Stamp Investment Tip: El Salvador 1935 Central American Games Issue (Scott #538-42/C36-40)

In 1935, El Salvador issued a compound set honoring the Third Central American Games (Scott #538-42/C36-40). Only 6,748 of this attractive Sports topical set were issued, and Scott '10 values it unused at $74.50.

Over the last decade or so, a "stealth bull market" has developed for better Latin American material, especially for scarce issues with wide topical appeal. Supplies have been gradually depleted, and many items which formerly retailed for about 20%-30% of Scott are now selling for 60%-80%, and the catalog values have substantially increased as well. Frequently, Michel Values, which are usually much higher than Scott for Latin America, are used by auction houses when listing this material. As the region has cast aside its authoritarian dictatorships and become more democratic, it has experienced healthy economic growth and the concurrent development of a middle class.

El Salvador, a nation of 5.7 million, is a poor though steadily developing economy, which has experienced annual GDP growth averaging 3.5% over the last 5 years. In addition, there are between 500,000 and 1 million Salvadorans in the U.S., most of whom immigrated during El Salvador's "Dirty War" of 1979-92. Salvadorans in the United States are among the hardest-working immigrants, working enough hours at low-paying jobs to send about $800 million home every year. Although Salvadoran Americans toil in the lowest-paying sectors of the American economy, they are slowly but inexorably becoming more prosperous. They work long hours, save a great deal, and are gradually moving from the inner cities to the suburbs.

While I believe it may take a while for a significant stamp collecting population to develop among Salvadorans, this is mitigated by the fact that many collectors of Latin American stamps collect the region generally, rather than specializing in a particular country. Also, the quantity issued for this Central American Games set was so low that growth in Sports Topical collecting alone may be sufficient to push it upward.


Sunday, January 31, 2010

Stamp Investment Tip: Bahrain 1948-49 Surcharge (Scott #52-61A)


In 1948 and '49, the Kingdom of Bahrain, then a British-protected territory, surcharged a portion of Great Britain's George VI definitives of the time, issuing a set of eleven stamps (Scott #52-61A). Only 16,460 sets were issued, making it perhaps the scarcest set ever issued by Bahrain. Scott '10 values the unused set at $ 83.00 ($110.- for NH).

I favor all of the better stamps of the affluent Gulf States, and this set has the added attraction of appealing to British Commonwealth collectors.


Bahrain, a country of just under 800,000, has the fastest growing economy in the Arab world. With oil reserves estimated at 150-200 million barrels, Bahrain is not as oil-rich as some of the other Gulf States, but has met the challenge by successfully diversifying into banking and financial services, and is now considered a major financial center. Annual GDP growth has averaged 6.5% over the past 5 years. Bahrain is also developing its natural gas industry, as it has gas reserves equivalent to about another 580 million barrels of oil.

Friday, January 29, 2010

Stamp Investment Tips: Philippines Stamp Exhibition Issues

The Philippines issued several sets and souvenir sheets at stamp exhibitions in the 1970s and '80s, and I am particularly interested in the three issues which featured "Stamps on Stamps" - AUSIPEX '84, and AMPHILEX '77 and ESPAMER '77 (both airmails). These popular topicals pictured the first issues of the Philippines, Australia, the Netherlands, and Spain and had low printings (especially the imperforate versions of the sheets, which are noted in Scott).


As a newly democratic and newly industrialized country of 92 million which is transitioning from its centuries-old complete dependence on agriculture, the Philippines may turn out to be one of the most successful emerging markets in the Pacific Region. The government tends toward fiscal conservatism coupled with long-term economic planning, and annual GDP growth has been around 6%-7%.

Given their scarcity, inexpensiveness, and topical appeal, I believe that these issues represent low-risk/high reward investments which should do well as this emerging market economy develops. Their quantities issued and Scott '10 Catalog Values are listed below:

AUSIPEX '84:

Set: Sc. #1709-09 (20,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 7.00
S/S: Sc. #1710 (15,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 30.00
Imperf. s/s: Sc. #1710Note (10,000 issued); No CV given by Scott

AMPHILEX '77:

S/S: Sc. #C109 (30,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 10.00
Imperf. s/s: Sc. #C109Note (7,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 20.00

ESPAMER '77:

S/S: Sc. #C110 (20,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 10.00
Imperf. s/s: Sc.#C110Note (7,000 issued); Sc. '10 CV=$ 18.00

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Stamp Investment Tip: Romania 1956 Insect Pests (Scott # 1103-06)


In 1956, Romania issued a set of stamps honoring its campaign against insect pests (Scott #1103-06). 40,000 of this interesting Animal/Insect topical set were issued, and Scott '10 prices the unused set at $ 36.25.

This set should do well as both an Animal topical and as a bet on the growth of Romania's economy. I favor many of the scarce sets of the former Eastern bloc countries (and especially popular topicals), as their values have plenty of room for increase as these economies play catch-up and develop within the free-market fold.

A nation of 22 million people with a GDP per capita of $ 12,285.- (about 46% of the EU average), Romania is considered an upper-middle income country. Romania's main exports are clothing and textiles, industrial machinery, electrical and electronic equipment, metallurgic products, raw materials, cars, military equipment, software, pharmaceuticals, fine chemicals, and agricultural products. GDP growth has been high, averaging about 7% over the last five years.


Friday, January 22, 2010

Stamp Investment Tips- Australia 1946-47 Military Stamps (Scott #M1-7)


In 1946-47, Australia issued a set of stamps for its military forces occupying Japan (Scott #M1-7), by overprinting seven values of its 1937-46 Issue for use by the British Commonwealth Occupation Force. Only 32,508 sets were issued, and Scott '10 prices the unused set at $ 185.- .

This set is interesting from an investment perspective, because it appeals to collectors of Australia, British Commonwealth, and also possibly Japan. Unfortunately, forged "B.C.O.F." overprints of the two high values exist, presenting an expertization cost problem, which may be coped with in one of four ways.


1 - Buy blocks of 4 or more of either the complete set or the 5sh high value (Sc. #M7), and get the block of M7 expertized.


2- Buy a block of the 1p Brown Violet with blue overprint (Scott #M2a- Scott '10 CV = $100.- , and $ 125.- for NH) and get it expertized. The quantity issued for this variety is unknown,but was probably in the low ten thousands.


3- Buy the 3p Dark Violet Brown with double overprint (Scott M3a- Scott '10 CV = $ 750.-) and get it expertized. The quantity issued for this overprint error is unknown, but was probably in the low thousands.


4- As covers which contain complete used sets exist, purchase one of these if you can find one in nice condition, and get it expertized.


I favor better stamps of Australia, as it is a prosperous nation of 22 million people and a diverse economy, with thriving service, agricultural, and mining sectors. Annual GDP growth has average 3.6% over the past 15 years. Recently, there has been considerable growth in mining and petroleum extraction, in part due to increased exports to the resource-hungry Chinese market. It is likely that Australia's stamp collecting population will grow significantly as the nation ages. The percentage of Australians over 60 is projected to rise from 16% in 2000 to 24.8% in 2025, and 28.2% in 2050.

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Alex
I create paintings as documentations of context, based on systems of rules.
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